Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.116083 0.137513 0.161482 0.190232 0.223738 0.261505 0.307258
2025-01-26 0.085051 0.113295 0.148425 0.195130 0.255379 0.330241 0.430052
2025-02-02 0.066277 0.096888 0.138274 0.197882 0.281016 0.392244 0.551611
2025-02-09 0.053358 0.084365 0.129327 0.198535 0.301460 0.447726 0.669864
2025-02-16 0.044702 0.075703 0.123479 0.201369 0.323757 0.506835 0.798905
2025-02-23 0.039208 0.070589 0.121637 0.209180 0.353519 0.579270 0.955063
2025-03-02 0.032351 0.061794 0.112243 0.203047 0.359767 0.615415 1.058321
2025-03-09 0.027918 0.056304 0.107309 0.203245 0.375810 0.668156 1.193074
2025-03-16 0.023867 0.050717 0.101210 0.200251 0.385517 0.710773 1.314716
2025-03-23 0.021486 0.047897 0.099669 0.205155 0.409578 0.780147 1.489203
2025-03-30 0.018735 0.043803 0.095008 0.203333 0.420676 0.827208 1.628179
2025-04-06 0.016138 0.039546 0.089331 0.198589 0.425337 0.862523 1.748565
2025-04-13 0.013763 0.035389 0.083324 0.192519 0.427011 0.893158 1.865057
2025-04-20 0.012527 0.033658 0.082285 0.196860 0.450595 0.969015 2.077648
2025-04-27 0.011325 0.031774 0.080599 0.199502 0.470839 1.040172 2.287912
2025-05-04 0.010149 0.029725 0.078196 0.200132 0.486682 1.103748 2.488751
2025-05-11 0.009246 0.028214 0.076836 0.202981 0.507765 1.180341 2.724144
2025-05-18 0.008697 0.027570 0.077522 0.210849 0.541298 1.287005 3.034026
2025-05-25 0.007553 0.024993 0.072841 0.204669 0.540805 1.318410 3.181858
2025-06-01 0.006825 0.023496 0.070772 0.204869 0.555759 1.386045 3.417025
2025-06-08 0.006060 0.021724 0.067661 0.201852 0.562285 1.434747 3.613316
2025-06-15 0.005660 0.021035 0.067493 0.206793 0.589682 1.535224 3.939395
2025-06-22 0.005083 0.019632 0.065023 0.204957 0.599119 1.593317 4.169947